How India Manages the Russia Relationship
India's relationship with Russia — formally designated a "Special and Privileged Strategic Partnership" — is India's most enduring great power relationship: anchored in decades of defence supply, diplomatic support on Jammu and Kashmir (Soviet/Russian UNSC veto protection), and economic cooperation that includes the Kudankulam nuclear power plant (built with Russian assistance).
The relationship has been severely tested since February 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine: India has abstained on all UN votes condemning Russia; continued purchasing Russian discounted crude oil (making India Russia's largest crude buyer at approximately 1.8 million bpd); maintained defence procurement (S-400 delivery continued 2021–22; BrahMos joint venture ongoing); and resisted Western pressure to sanction Russia — all while stating that "this is not an era of war" and calling for dialogue. The Modi-Putin Kazan meeting (October 2024, on the sidelines of BRICS) and Modi's Moscow visit (July 2024) demonstrated the relationship's continuity.
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| Representational Visualization: How India Manages the Russia Relationship |
The cost of this position — US secondary tariffs,
restricted technology-sharing, exclusion from some Five Eyes intelligence
cooperation — is calibrated as acceptable compared to the cost of foregoing
strategic autonomy on Russia.
What You Need to Know
- India-Russia
defence dependency: approximately 60% of India's military equipment is
Russian or Soviet-origin; S-400 air defence system delivered 2021–22
(CAATSA waiver concerns remain unresolved); AK-203 rifle joint venture
(Amethi factory, 600,000 rifles planned); BrahMos joint venture (cruise
missile jointly produced and exported); Russia is the only country
supplying India with nuclear submarines (leased), aircraft carrier
maintenance experience (INS Vikramaditya), and SS-type ICBM technology.
- Russia-India
oil trade: post-Ukraine war, India increased Russian crude purchases from
near-zero to approximately 1.8 million bpd — making India Russia's largest
crude buyer; India receives discounted crude (approximately 15–20% below
international market price in 2022–23; discount narrowed in 2024); paid
primarily in rupees (with dollar conversion complexities); total value
approximately $60 billion+ for FY2024.
- US
secondary tariffs: Trump administration (2025) imposed 25% additional
tariff on Indian exports explicitly linked to India's Russian oil
purchases; India described this as "unfair, unjustified and
unreasonable"; this represents the first direct US economic pressure
on India for its Russia relationship; India did not significantly reduce
Russian purchases in response.
- India-Russia
2+2 dialogue: Foreign and Defence Ministers' dialogue (2+2 format) held
regularly; the dialogue covers defence supply, energy, counter-terrorism,
multilateral coordination; Russian FM Lavrov visits New Delhi; EAM
Jaishankar visits Moscow; the 2+2 format mirrors the India-US 2+2,
signalling Russia's continued "strategic" status.
- Kudankulam
nuclear plant: six 1,000MW reactor units planned; Units 1 and 2
operational since 2013 and 2017; Units 3 and 4 under construction; Units 5
and 6 planned; the plant represents Russia's most significant civilian
economic investment in India; nuclear cooperation provides Russia
strategic leverage in India's energy planning.
How It Works in Practice
1. The defence dependency reduction challenge:
India's long-term strategy is to reduce Russian defence dependency through:
Make in India defence production (AK-203 rifles, BrahMos domestically, aircraft
components); increased procurement from US (F/A-18 carriers, P-8I maritime
patrol), France (Rafale fighters, Scorpène submarines), Israel (drones,
missiles), and Japan/Australia (future); and developing domestic platforms (LCA
Tejas, AMCA advanced fighter, NMRH naval helicopter). The process is long —
10–15 year timelines for major platform transitions — meaning Russia dependency
will persist through the 2020s.
2. Ukraine war navigation: India's Ukraine war
position has been: abstain on UN votes; call for diplomacy and dialogue; refuse
to characterise Russia's invasion as "aggression" in official
statements; provide humanitarian assistance to Ukraine (medicines, food); but
not provide military assistance to either side; maintain economic relationship
with Russia; the position satisfies no one — Western partners want stronger
condemnation, Russia wants active support — but it has been sustainable as a
neutral humanitarian-economic position.
3. Modi's Moscow visit (July 2024) and its optics:
Modi visited Moscow for the India-Russia annual summit (July 8–9, 2024) on the
same day Russian missiles struck a children's hospital in Kyiv; Modi's embrace
of Putin was photographed globally; the optics were diplomatically costly
(Ukrainian President Zelensky expressed "huge disappointment";
multiple European leaders protested); India defended the visit as consistent
with its "engage all parties" principle; the visit had substantive
defence supply discussions but the timing was poorly managed diplomatically.
4. The rupee-ruble payment problem: India's Russian
oil purchases have created a currency problem: Russia accumulates large rupee
balances from Indian oil payments that it cannot easily deploy (limited Indian
goods Russia wants to buy); the rupee-denominated trade has created an
asymmetric currency relationship where Russia holds more rupees than it can
use; negotiations on alternative payment mechanisms (third-country currency,
investment in India) are ongoing but unresolved.
5. Russia's Pakistan pivot: Post-Operation Sindoor,
Russia increased its engagement with Pakistan — military equipment discussions,
counterterrorism cooperation that includes Pakistan despite India's terrorism
concerns, and Russia-Pakistan-China trilateral discussions that India views as
its strategic space being encroached. If Russia's Pakistan engagement deepens
substantively, it would challenge the "Special and Privileged"
characterisation of the India-Russia relationship.
What People Often Misunderstand
- Russia's
strategic support for India is transactional, not unconditional:
Russia's UNSC support for India on Kashmir, its defence supply, and its
diplomatic cover have always been based on Russia's interests — not
ideological commitment to India's positions; when Russian interests
diverge from India's, Russia acts in its interests (as its Pakistan
engagement illustrates).
- India's
Russian oil purchases benefit India, not just Russia: Discounted
Russian oil is an economic benefit to India — reduced energy costs for
industry, lower fuel prices; the benefit has real economic value for
Indian consumers and manufacturing competitiveness; framing it as purely
political misses the economic logic.
- US
secondary tariffs on India for Russian purchases are unprecedented:
The US has never previously imposed sanctions or tariffs on India
specifically linked to its Russia relationship; this represents a
qualitative escalation of US pressure on India's strategic autonomy that
creates a genuine policy dilemma for India.
- India
is reducing Russian defence dependency but slowly: Every major Indian
defence procurement since 2014 has included a "diversification"
objective; Rafale (France), AH-64E Apache (US), P-8I (US), C-17
Globemaster (US), and other Western platforms have reduced the Russian
share; but the existing fleet's maintenance and spare parts dependency on
Russia will persist for decades regardless of new procurement choices.
- Russia's
nuclear technology cooperation with India is strategically significant and
often overlooked: Kudankulam's planned six reactor expansion
represents Russia's most important strategic energy investment globally
(India's energy security significance); the nuclear technology
relationship is harder to replace than even the conventional defence
relationship.
What Changes Over Time
India's defence diversification timeline — the AMCA (Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft), NMRH (Naval Multi-Role Helicopter), and domestic manufacture of BrahMos derivatives — will gradually reduce the Russian dependency's intensity over 2025–2035.
The Russia-Pakistan engagement's depth
will determine whether India eventually reclassifies the India-Russia
relationship from "Special and Privileged" to simply a strategic
partnership.
Sources and Further Reading
- Foreign
Policy — India strategic autonomy: https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/26/india-end-strategic-autonomy/
- Tribune
India — Sindoor strategic autonomy: https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/bricsleadership/operation-sindoor-beyond-how-india-asserted-strategic-autonomy-amid-tariffs-security-challenges
- IRGA
— India's strategic autonomy: https://irga.in/world_desc.php?id=1217
- Fair Observer — India strategic autonomy multipolar: https://www.fairobserver.com/region/central_south_asia/indias-current-foreign-policy-reinforcing-strategic-autonomy-in-a-rising-multipolar-world-order/
- Chatham House — BRICS Quad: https://www.chathamhouse.org/2025/07/back-back-brics-and-quad-meetings-highlight-indias-increasingly-difficult-balancing-act
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